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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability — Friday 26 February 2027

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market — you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

15 fixtures clear the bar on Friday 26 February 2027. Den Bosch vs FC Volendam sits top on 96% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 96% down to 70%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies nine of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch
: 19:00
FC Volendam
Win 60%
Draw 17%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 87% BTTS Yes 81%
#2 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Heracles
: 19:00
Jong Utrecht
Win 65%
Draw 17%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 67%
#3 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
NAC Breda
: 19:00
Vitesse
Win 17%
Draw 17%
Win 66%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 67%
#4 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong AZ
: 19:00
Emmen
Win 42%
Draw 21%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 73%
#5 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Waalwijk
: 19:00
Helmond Sport
Win 59%
Draw 19%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 68%
#6 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
: 19:00
Jong Ajax
Win 37%
Draw 22%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 70%
#7 Ligue 2 · France
Metz
: 19:00
Grenoble
Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
#8 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC
: 19:00
MVV
Win 42%
Draw 23%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 65%
#9 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
: 19:00
VVV Venlo
Win 49%
Draw 22%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 63%
#10 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht
: 19:00
FC OSS
Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
#11 Ligue 2 · France
Nantes
: 19:00
PAU
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
#12 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda
: 19:00
FC Eindhoven
Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 57%
#13 Ligue 2 · France
RED Star FC 93
: 19:00
Guingamp
Win 34%
Draw 30%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 56%
#14 Ligue 2 · France
Saint Etienne
: 19:00
Sochaux
Win 64%
Draw 25%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 59% Saint Etienne Clean Sheet 53%
#15 Ligue 2 · France
Annecy
: 19:00
Reims
Win 32%
Draw 32%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 58%

Showing top 15 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (≥ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 26 February 2027?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Den Bosch vs FC Volendam at 96% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.