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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability — Friday 18 March 2022

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market — you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 18 March 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Telstar vs Dordrecht at 90% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 71%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the over 1.5 goals market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Telstar
1 : 0 FT
Dordrecht
Win 33%
Draw 21%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 72%
#2 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Ajax
2 : 2 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 39%
Draw 23%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#3 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
1 : 1 FT
Excelsior
Win 30%
Draw 23%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#4 2. Bundesliga · Germany
FC St. Pauli
1 : 0 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
✓ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
#5 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Taee
2 : 2 FT
Al Shabab
Win 38%
Draw 23%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#6 Serie A · Italy
Sassuolo
4 : 1 FT
Spezia
✓ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#7 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
3 : 3 FT
Roda
Win 32%
Draw 24%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#8 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
4 : 0 FT
NAC Breda
Win 15%
Draw 20%
Win 65%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 55%
#9 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Erzgebirge AUE
0 : 3 FT
Karlsruher SC
Win 24%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 60%
#10 Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Bochum
0 : 2 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 56%
#11 League Two · England
Newport County
2 : 3 FT
Hartlepool
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Pogon Szczecin
4 : 1 FT
Wisla Krakow
✓ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#13 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
1 : 1 FT
FC Volendam
Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#14 Ligue 1 · France
Saint Etienne
1 : 1 FT
Estac Troyes
Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#15 Süper Lig · Turkey
Rizespor
3 : 2 FT
Trabzonspor
Win 17%
Draw 22%
Win 61%
#16 Premier League · England
Wolves
2 : 3 FT
Leeds
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
#17 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vizela
1 : 1 FT
Famalicao
Win 29%
Draw 32%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#18 Premier Division · Ireland
Drogheda United
1 : 0 FT
Dundalk
Win 29%
Draw 33%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%
#19 La Liga · Spain
Athletic Club
1 : 1 FT
Getafe
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
#20 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC
2 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
✓ Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (≥ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 18 March 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Telstar vs Dordrecht at 90% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.