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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 28 June 2020

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Ten fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 28 June 2020. The strongest reading belongs to Sandefjord vs Haugesund at 90% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 73%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eliteserien supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the over 1.5 goals market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sandefjord
0 : 1 FT
Haugesund
Win 57%
Draw 19%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 70%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stromsgodset
1 : 1 FT
Aalesund
Win 60%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
2 : 1 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Elfsborg
1 : 1 FT
Orebro SK
Win 21%
Draw 31%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#5 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Sirius
2 : 2 FT
IFK Goteborg
Win 16%
Draw 29%
Win 55%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Molde
4 : 1 FT
Stabaek
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#7 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
AIK Stockholm
2 : 2 FT
Malmo FF
Win 20%
Draw 32%
Win 48%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#8 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Djurgardens IF
5 : 0 FT
Kalmar FF
Win 17%
Draw 31%
Win 51%
#9 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Brann
1 : 2 FT
Rosenborg
Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
#10 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Mjallby AIF
2 : 1 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 18%
Draw 33%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 57%

Showing top 10 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 28 June 2020?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Sandefjord vs Haugesund at 90% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.