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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Saturday 6 November 2021

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

18 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 6 November 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Stromsgodset vs Stabaek at 75% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 75% down to 56%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the home win market — 44%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stromsgodset
– : – CANC
Stabaek
Win 75%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 59%
#2 Premier League Β· England
Chelsea
1 : 1 FT
Burnley
Win 74%
Draw 15%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Mjallby AIF
2 : 3 FT
Sirius
Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
BTTS No 54%
#4 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Plzen
0 : 0 FT
Sigma Olomouc
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 57%
#5 Premier League Β· England
Brentford
1 : 2 FT
Norwich
Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 60%
#6 Superettan Β· Sweden
Trelleborg
1 : 2 FT
Vasalund
Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#7 Premier League Β· Russia
Krylia Sovetov
3 : 0 FT
Khimki
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#8 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid
2 : 1 FT
Rayo Vallecano
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#9 Serie A Β· Brazil
Internacional
1 : 0 FT
Gremio
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
#10 Championship Β· England
Coventry
3 : 2 FT
Bristol City
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#11 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv
1 : 2 FT
Vorskla Poltava
Win 60%
Draw 27%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 58%
#12 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sandefjord
– : – CANC
Mjondalen
Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 53%
#13 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Admira Wacker
1 : 2 FT
Ried
Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
#14 Bundesliga Β· Germany
RB Leipzig
2 : 1 FT
Borussia Dortmund
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#15 Championship Β· England
West Brom
1 : 1 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 64% West Brom Clean Sheet 53%
#16 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SSV Jahn Regensburg
2 : 3 FT
Hansa Rostock
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#17 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lechia Gdansk
2 : 1 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
#18 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayern München
2 : 1 FT
SC Freiburg
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 18 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Saturday 6 November 2021?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Stromsgodset vs Stabaek at 75% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.