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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Sunday 7 November 2021

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

18 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 7 November 2021. Ajax vs GO Ahead Eagles sits top on 91% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 55%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Allsvenskan supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the home win market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Ajax
0 : 0 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
Win 91%
Draw 6%
Win 3%
Over 2.5 83%
#2 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Basel 1893
0 : 1 FT
FC ST. Gallen
Win 78%
Draw 15%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 59%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
AIK Stockholm
3 : 0 FT
Ostersunds FK
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 16%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ AIK Stockholm Clean Sheet 57%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Molde
3 : 1 FT
Sandefjord
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Hammarby FF
3 : 2 FT
Orebro SK
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 64%
#6 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha
4 : 2 FT
Teplice
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
BTTS No 56%
#7 Primera División Β· Chile
U. Catolica
1 : 0 FT
Universidad de Chile
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 58%
#8 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
BK Hacken
2 : 0 FT
Degerfors IF
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 63%
#9 Serie A Β· Italy
Lazio
3 : 0 FT
Salernitana
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 62%
#10 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Dundalk
2 : 0 FT
Longford Town
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#11 Ligue 1 Β· France
Marseille
0 : 0 FT
Metz
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 64%
#12 Serie A Β· Italy
Napoli
1 : 1 FT
Hellas Verona
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#13 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Feyenoord
1 : 0 FT
AZ Alkmaar
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 18%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 73%
#14 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico-MG
1 : 0 FT
America Mineiro
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
#15 Ligue 1 Β· France
Nice
0 : 1 FT
Montpellier
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 63%
#16 Ligue 1 Β· France
Rennes
4 : 1 FT
Lyon
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 30%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 54%
#17 La Liga Β· Spain
Villarreal
1 : 0 FT
Getafe
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 29%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#18 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fenerbahçe
2 : 2 FT
Kayserispor
Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 18 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 7 November 2021?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ajax vs GO Ahead Eagles at 91% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.