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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Sunday 24 October 2021

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

18 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 24 October 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Hammarby FF vs Ostersunds FK at 74% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 74% down to 55%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eliteserien supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the home win market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Hammarby FF
4 : 3 FT
Ostersunds FK
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 19%
Win 7%
BTTS No 63% Hammarby FF Clean Sheet 59%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Kristiansund BK
1 : 3 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 73%
Draw 19%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 62%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Rosenborg
4 : 1 FT
Sandefjord
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#4 Serie B Β· Italy
Pisa
1 : 1 FT
Pordenone
Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
BTTS No 56%
#5 La Liga Β· Spain
Sevilla
5 : 3 FT
Levante
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 25%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 62% Sevilla Clean Sheet 55%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Valerenga
2 : 1 FT
Haugesund
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#7 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Plzen
5 : 0 FT
FK Jablonec
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv
2 : 0 FT
Dnipro-1
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#9 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Mjallby AIF
1 : 3 FT
IFK Goteborg
Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 59%
#10 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
0 : 1 FT
Al-Ettifaq
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 67%
#11 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
AIK Stockholm
1 : 0 FT
IFK Norrkoping
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 55%
#12 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Anderlecht
4 : 2 FT
Beerschot VA
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 18%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#13 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Ajax
5 : 0 FT
PSV Eindhoven
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Elfsborg
3 : 0 FT
Sirius
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 55%
#15 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Zorya Luhansk
1 : 0 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#16 Serie A Β· Italy
Inter
1 : 1 FT
Juventus
Win 56%
Draw 20%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#17 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Genk
0 : 3 FT
Gent
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#18 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Hradec Králové
3 : 0 FT
Teplice
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 18 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 24 October 2021?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Hammarby FF vs Ostersunds FK at 74% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.