Sign in Register
🏠

Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Saturday 7 August 2021

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

Nine matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 7 August 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Molde vs Tromso at 75% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 75% down to 56%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eliteserien supplies five of the top 9, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the four fixtures on this list that have since finished, 0 landed the home win market — 0%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Molde
– : – CANC
Tromso
Win 75%
Draw 18%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 64%
#2 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Pacific FC
2 : 2 FT
FC Edmonton
Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
BTTS No 56%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stromsgodset
– : – CANC
Lillestrom
Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 58%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Rosenborg
– : – CANC
Brann
Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 57%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
– : – CANC
Mjondalen
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 60%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Viking
– : – CANC
ODD Ballklubb
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 64%
#7 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Sligo Rovers
0 : 1 FT
Finn Harps
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#8 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Arouca
0 : 2 FT
Estoril
Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 59%
#9 Superettan Β· Sweden
IFK Varnamo
1 : 1 FT
AFC Eskilstuna
Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 67% IFK Varnamo Clean Sheet 56%

Showing top 9 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Saturday 7 August 2021?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Molde vs Tromso at 75% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.