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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals β€” Sunday 30 May 2021

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) β€” making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

15 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 30 May 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Bahia vs Santos at 3.39 in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 3.39 down to 2.55, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eliteserien supplies nine of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the goal fest market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil
Bahia
3 : 0 FT
Santos
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 68%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Rosenborg
– : – CANC
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 65%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stromsgodset
– : – CANC
Molde
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 66%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Tromso
0 : 2 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 33%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 40%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 65%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Mjondalen
0 : 0 FT
Molde
Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 64%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
– : – CANC
Sandefjord
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 61%
#7 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Rosenborg
4 : 2 FT
Stabaek
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#8 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Valerenga
– : – CANC
Lillestrom
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 57%
#9 Eliteserien Β· Norway
ODD Ballklubb
1 : 0 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 25%
Draw 28%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
#10 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Valerenga
3 : 1 FT
Sandefjord
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#11 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Kristiansund BK
1 : 0 FT
Lillestrom
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
BTTS Yes 54%
#12 Serie A Β· Brazil
Sao Paulo
0 : 0 FT
Fluminense
Win 51%
Draw 31%
Win 18%
BTTS Yes 55%
#13 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Haugesund
4 : 2 FT
Viking
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#14 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Brann
3 : 0 FT
Stromsgodset
Win 33%
Draw 30%
Win 37%
BTTS Yes 54%
#15 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Kristiansund BK
– : – CANC
Mjondalen
Win 33%
Draw 30%
Win 37%
BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 15 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest β€” common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Sunday 30 May 2021?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bahia vs Santos at 3.39 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.