RED Star FC 93 0-0 Laval – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates RED Star FC 93 at 43% — recent form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this RED Star FC 93 vs Laval encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Fixture Analysis
RED Star FC 93 welcome Laval to Stade Bauer in Ligue 2 (matchday 29). Kick-off is Friday 3 April 2026 at 20:00 UK time.
Form Analysis
Looking at their last 10 matches, RED Star FC 93 stand at 4W 3D 3L — 1.50 PPG. Last five: L D L W W. They are averaging 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.10 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 4 clean sheets in 10 games (40%) reflects a solid defensive base.
At home, RED Star FC 93 have gone 4W 5D 1L in their last 10 home games (1.70 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 4 home clean sheets from their last 10 home games (40%) — a solid defensive base on their own ground.
Laval — last 10 games: 1W 5D 4L — 0.80 PPG. Last five: L D D L W. Their scoring rate of 1.00 per game is modest, conceding 1.50 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings (10%). Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market.
Laval's away record over their last 10 away games: 2W 3D 5L (0.90 PPG). Away from home they average 0.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 4 clean sheets from their last 10 away games (40%) shows they are capable of shutting up shop on the road. Away from home, both teams have scored in only 30% of games — a low rate that backs BTTS No when they travel.
RED Star FC 93 are in the better shape of the two on recent form — 0.70 PPG ahead (1.50 vs 0.80). That form margin is the baseline of a sensible selection even before other signals are layered in.
H2H
The H2H picture is flat: the 3 H2H matches we hold have produced 1 wins for RED Star FC 93, 1 for Laval and 1 draw. Form and model data should carry more weight here. With only 3 H2H matches to go on, treat this as a light input.
The 3 H2H matches in our data averaged 2.0 goals per game — a neutral rate that gives no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent of those, on 18 Oct 2025, ended RED Star FC 93 1–0 Laval — a RED Star FC 93 win.
The head-to-head data offers no strong steer in either the result or goals markets. Form, the model and current market pricing should carry more weight for this fixture.
In-Play Profile
RED Star FC 93 in-play tendencies (last 61 games, 30 of them at home): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 73% of their matches in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 72% of the time; of the 15 games they led at half-time, they failed to win 27%; BTTS occurs in 53% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 50% of games (home games).
Laval in-play tendencies (last 61 games, 30 of them away): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 60% of their matches in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 76% of the time; of the 17 games they led at half-time, they failed to win 29%; BTTS occurs in 40% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 33% of games (away games); they fail to score in 36% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — RED Star FC 93 49% versus Laval 46%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (RED Star FC 93 48% | Laval 39%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects RED Star FC 93 1.21 xG and Laval 0.84 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: RED Star FC 93 attack 0.882 / defence 0.939 | Laval attack 0.766 / defence 1.186. League average goals — home 1.152 / away 1.169. Laval's attack rating of 0.766 is below the league average, which holds their xG down at 0.84. Data: built from RED Star FC 93's last 61 games and Laval's last 62.
Result probabilities: RED Star FC 93 43% | Draw 32% | Laval 25%. Fair-value odds: RED Star FC 93 2.30 | Draw 3.13 | Laval 4.06. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome reaches 45%. The draw at 32% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 34% | BTTS Yes probability 41% | Total xG 2.05. Under 2.5 is the strongly backed market at 66% probability — total xG of 2.05 sits well below the 2.5 threshold. The model is projecting a tight, low-scoring match. BTTS No at 59% is only a slight lean — the model gives both sides a fair chance of scoring, so No isn't a clear standalone call.
Our Verdict
Poisson rates RED Star FC 93 as the most likely outcome at 43% — marginal model lean. Recent form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 32% draw probability, Draw No Bet on RED Star FC 93 offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.05 combined xG gives a 66% probability to Under 2.5 — reasonable conviction, supported by recent form (RED Star FC 93's last 10 home games and Laval's last 10 away games) averaging 2.2 goals per game.
Poisson assigns a 59% probability to BTTS No based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate — both teams scored in: RED Star FC 93 50% (last 10 home games) | Laval 30% (last 10 away games).
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: RED Star FC 93 vs Laval | Competition: Ligue 2, matchday 29 | Venue: Stade Bauer • Kick-off: Friday 3 April 2026 at 20:00 UK time • Data inputs: head-to-head data, recent form (overall and home/away), the Poisson prediction model and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: RED Star FC 93 43% | Draw 32% | Laval 25% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 34% (Under 66%) | BTTS Yes 41% (No 59%) | xG RED Star FC 93 1.21 / Laval 0.84 • Poisson strength factors: RED Star FC 93 attack 0.882 / def 0.939 | Laval attack 0.766 / def 1.186 | league avg home 1.152 / away 1.169 • Poisson stance: RED Star FC 93 (43%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.21
RED Star FC 93 xG
Expected Goals
0.84
Laval xG
41%
BTTS
62%
Over 1.5
34%
Over 2.5
15%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ RED Star FC 93 vs Laval FAQs
What time does RED Star FC 93 vs Laval kick off?
RED Star FC 93 vs Laval kicked off at 20:00 UK time on Friday 3 April 2026 at Stade Bauer.
What was the final score in RED Star FC 93 vs Laval?
RED Star FC 93 0 - 0 Laval.
Where is RED Star FC 93 vs Laval being played?
The match is being played at Stade Bauer.
What competition is RED Star FC 93 vs Laval part of?
RED Star FC 93 vs Laval is a Ligue 2 fixture (matchday 29) (France).
Who is favourite to win RED Star FC 93 vs Laval?
Our statistical model gives RED Star FC 93 a 43% chance of winning, Laval a 25% chance, and a 32% chance of a draw — making RED Star FC 93 the favourite.
Will both teams score in RED Star FC 93 vs Laval?
Our model estimates a 41% probability that both RED Star FC 93 and Laval will score, so it leans towards BTTS No (59%).
Will RED Star FC 93 vs Laval have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 34%, so it leans towards under 2.5 goals (66%).
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
RED Star FC 93's attacking strength (0.88x league average) is weighed against Laval's defensive record (1.19x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.21. The same calculation in reverse, Laval's attack versus RED Star FC 93's defence, projects 0.84 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from RED Star FC 93's last 61 games and Laval's last 62 — a full enough recent sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 14.8%. Close behind: 0-0 (14.6%), 1-0 (13.9%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 43% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
RED Star FC 93 Win
43%
2.30
32%
3.13
25%
4.06
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
15.6%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
13.1%
Draw
0 – 0
12.9%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.21
RED Star FC 93 xG
Total xG
2.05
0.84
Laval xG
2.30
43%
Home win
3.13
32%
Draw
4.06
25%
Away win
Goals Markets
61%
Over 1.5
1.64
39%
Under 1.5
2.56
34%
Over 2.5
2.94
66%
Under 2.5
1.52
15%
Over 3.5
6.67
85%
Under 3.5
1.18
6%
Over 4.5
16.67
94%
Under 4.5
1.06
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
41%
BTTS Yes
2.44
59%
BTTS No
1.69
Clean Sheet
43%
2.32
30%
3.34
Win to Nil
19%
5.34
7%
13.55
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.9 | 10.9 | 4.6 | 1.3 | 0.3 | – |
| 1 | 15.6 | 13.1 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.4 | 7.9 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 3.8 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ RED Star FC 93 vs Laval Prediction FAQs
What is the most likely scoreline for RED Star FC 93 vs Laval?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.8%.
How many goals are RED Star FC 93 and Laval expected to score?
The model projects 1.21 expected goals for RED Star FC 93 and 0.84 for Laval, a combined total of 2.05.
How confident is the prediction model for RED Star FC 93 vs Laval?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 43%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
Across their last 61 outings, RED Star FC 93 have picked up 1.34 PPG on a 21W 19D 21L record — L-D-L-W-W across the most recent five.
Laval's form line: 18W 19D 24L from 61 games, 1.20 PPG, last five L-D-D-L-W.
Form-wise this is close to level: RED Star FC 93 on 1.34 PPG, Laval on 1.20. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Home Ground vs the Road
On home soil, RED Star FC 93 have posted 1.43 PPG from their last 30 home games (11W 10D 9L).
On the road, Laval have gone 9W 10D 11L from their last 30 away games — 1.23 PPG when travelling.
The Goals Picture
RED Star FC 93 are averaging 1.13 goals scored and 1.28 conceded per game recently; Laval are on 1.10 scored and 1.26 conceded.
Last 61 Results
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
RED Star FC 93
Blended
Laval
Current Season
RED Star FC 93 (Home) vs Laval (Away)
Home games only for the home side · Away games only for the away side
RED Star FC 93
Blended
Laval
Current Season
❓ RED Star FC 93 vs Laval Form FAQs
What form are RED Star FC 93 and Laval in coming into this match?
RED Star FC 93 have gone 21W 19D 21L in their last 61 games (1.34 PPG), while Laval have gone 18W 19D 24L in their last 61 (1.20 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — RED Star FC 93 at home or Laval away?
RED Star FC 93's home record (1.43 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — RED Star FC 93 at home: 1.43 PPG; Laval away: 1.23 PPG.
Have RED Star FC 93 or Laval been keeping clean sheets recently?
RED Star FC 93 have kept a clean sheet in 33% of their recent games, Laval in 26%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The head-to-head numbers here are drawn from the 5 H2H matches in our data, going back to September 2024. All of them came in Ligue 2. The most recent was as recently as 4 September 2026, so it is a fresh reference point.
Digging Into the Numbers
The biggest gap in our H2H data came on 20 Sep 2024, when Laval won RED Star FC 93 0-3 Laval.
RED Star FC 93's record when hosting Laval specifically: 0W 1D 1L from 2 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 5 Meetings
2
RED Star FC 93
2
Draws
1
Laval
Recent Meetings
❓ RED Star FC 93 vs Laval H2H FAQs
What is the head-to-head record between RED Star FC 93 and Laval?
Across the 5 head-to-head matches in our data, RED Star FC 93 have won 2, Laval have won 1, and 2 have been drawn.
When did RED Star FC 93 and Laval last play each other?
The most recent meeting in our data was on 4 September 2026: Laval 1-2 RED Star FC 93.
Who has won more matches between RED Star FC 93 and Laval?
RED Star FC 93 have the better head-to-head record, with 2 wins from the 5 head-to-head matches in our data.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
RED Star FC 93 are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 73% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 30% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 22% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 22% of those situations.
Laval are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 60% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 27% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 20% of those situations.
The Numbers That Matter
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — RED Star FC 93 53%, Laval 40% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 50% (RED Star FC 93) and 33% (Laval).
On the defensive side: RED Star FC 93 keep a clean sheet in 33% of their matches; Laval in 33%; Laval in 40%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = RED Star FC 93 home games / Laval away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ RED Star FC 93 vs Laval Trading FAQs
Do both teams usually score in RED Star FC 93 and Laval matches?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 53% of RED Star FC 93's recent matches and 40% of Laval's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Are RED Star FC 93 and Laval matches usually high-scoring?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 50% of RED Star FC 93's recent games and 33% of Laval's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do RED Star FC 93 and Laval matches tend to have early goals?
There has been at least one first-half goal in 73% of RED Star FC 93's recent matches and 60% of Laval's — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at RED Star FC 93's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
RED Star FC 93 and Laval finished level at 0-0 at Stade Bauer, Regular Season - 29, in the Ligue 2. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting RED Star FC 93 1.21 xG and Laval 0.84 xG, a combined 2.05. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. RED Star FC 93 fell 1.2 short of their projected output. Laval landed 0.8 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of RED Star FC 93 attack 0.88 / defence 0.94 against Laval attack 0.77 / defence 1.19, drawn from 61/62 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it RED Star FC 93 43% | Draw 32% | Laval 25%, with RED Star FC 93 to win its most likely call at 43%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 32%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 34%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 62% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 41% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 43% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (RED Star FC 93 48%, Laval 39%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 48%, which matched the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
RED Star FC 93's trading profile (61 games, 30 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 49% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 33% of the time, and duly kept one; they fail to score in 26% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Laval's trading profile (61 games, 30 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 46% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 36% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — RED Star FC 93 1.34 PPG, Laval 1.20 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. RED Star FC 93 (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.10 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.27 average — tighter than their form line. Laval (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.00 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.23 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.
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