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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability — Saturday 16 December 2023

Wed 13 Thu 14 Fri 15 Sat 16 Sun 17 Mon 18 Tue 19

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 16 December 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Hertha BSC vs VfL Osnabrück (Hertha BSC (draw no bet)) at 94% in the 2. Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the draw no bet market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Germany Hertha BSC (draw no bet) 94%

Over 2.5 83% BTTS Yes 57%

Championship · England Plymouth (draw no bet) 90%

Super League · Switzerland Grasshoppers (draw no bet) 90%

Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Premier League · England Chelsea (draw no bet) 88%

Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 56%

Premier League · England Newcastle (draw no bet) 86%

League Two · England Stockport County (draw no bet) 86%

✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 53%

Serie B · Italy Cremonese (draw no bet) 84%

League One · England Stevenage (draw no bet) 83%

League One · England Lincoln (draw no bet) 82%

Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

#10

League Two · England Wrexham (draw no bet) 81%

✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%

#11

Eredivisie · Netherlands Heerenveen (draw no bet) 81%

✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

#12

Ligue 2 · France Rodez (draw no bet) 80%

Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 59%

#13

Premier League · England Manchester City (draw no bet) 80%

✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

#14

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Standard Liege (draw no bet) 78%

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 59%

#15

League One · England Oxford United (draw no bet) 78%

Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 58%

#16

League Two · England Doncaster (draw no bet) 78%

✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 60%

#17

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Bohemians 1905 (draw no bet) 77%

✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 61%

#18

Ligue 2 · France Auxerre (draw no bet) 76%

#19

League One · England Bolton (draw no bet) 75%

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

#20

Super League · Switzerland BSC Young Boys (draw no bet) 75%

✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Draw No Bet — common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Saturday 16 December 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Hertha BSC vs VfL Osnabrück (Hertha BSC (draw no bet)) at 94% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.