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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Sunday 13 November 2022

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 13 November 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Feyenoord vs Excelsior (Feyenoord (draw no bet)) at 92% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the draw no bet market — 77%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Feyenoord (draw no bet) 92%
Feyenoord
5 : 1 FT
Excelsior
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 14%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica (draw no bet) 89%
Benfica
3 : 1 FT
GIL Vicente
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 12%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#3 Ligue 1 Β· France Paris Saint Germain (draw no bet) 88%
Paris Saint Germain
5 : 0 FT
Auxerre
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 16%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 56%
#4 Premier League Β· Ukraine Dynamo Kyiv (draw no bet) 85%
Dynamo Kyiv
0 : 0 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 60%
#5 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Plzen (draw no bet) 85%
Pardubice
1 : 1 FT
Plzen
Win 11%
Draw 23%
Win 66%
BTTS No 57%
#6 Premier League Β· England Brighton (draw no bet) 85%
Brighton
1 : 2 FT
Aston Villa
Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 59%
#7 Super League Β· China Dalian Aerbin (draw no bet) 84%
Dalian Aerbin
1 : 1 FT
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 53%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Austria Red Bull Salzburg (draw no bet) 82%
Austria Klagenfurt
0 : 1 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 15%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 66%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 64%
#9 Eliteserien Β· Norway Rosenborg (draw no bet) 81%
Rosenborg
2 : 3 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 67%
Draw 17%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#10 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany SV Darmstadt 98 (draw no bet) 81%
SV Darmstadt 98
1 : 1 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
#11 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Vitória SC (draw no bet) 80%
Vitória SC
1 : 0 FT
Maritimo
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 57%
#12 Eliteserien Β· Norway Tromso (draw no bet) 80%
Tromso
2 : 2 FT
Aalesund
Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#13 Serie A Β· Brazil Cuiaba (draw no bet) 80%
Cuiaba
2 : 1 FT
Coritiba
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 62%
#14 Eliteserien Β· Norway Kristiansund BK (draw no bet) 79%
Kristiansund BK
1 : 1 FT
jerv
Win 66%
Draw 16%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#15 Super League 1 Β· Greece Panathinaikos (draw no bet) 79%
Panathinaikos
2 : 0 FT
Atromitos
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 33%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#16 Super League Β· China SHANGHAI SIPG (draw no bet) 78%
Shenzhen Ruby FC
0 : 3 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 17%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 59%
#17 Superettan Β· Sweden Orgryte IS (draw no bet) 78%
Orgryte IS
2 : 3 FT
Sandviken
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
#18 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Gent (draw no bet) 77%
Kortrijk
0 : 4 FT
Gent
Win 18%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 59%
#19 Ligue 1 Β· France Lille (draw no bet) 76%
Lille
1 : 0 FT
Angers
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 68%
#20 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Club Brugge KV (draw no bet) 75%
Club Brugge KV
2 : 2 FT
Antwerp
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Sunday 13 November 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Feyenoord vs Excelsior (Feyenoord (draw no bet)) at 92% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.