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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Saturday 22 January 2022

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 22 January 2022. Inter vs Venezia (Inter (draw no bet)) sits top on 88% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 72%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League One supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the draw no bet market — 63%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy Inter (draw no bet) 88%
Inter
2 : 1 FT
Venezia
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 57%
#2 Championship Β· England West Brom (draw no bet) 88%
West Brom
3 : 0 FT
Peterborough
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 22%
Win 10%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ West Brom Clean Sheet 59%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain Villarreal (draw no bet) 86%
Villarreal
3 : 0 FT
Mallorca
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 62%
#4 Championship Β· England Fulham (draw no bet) 85%
Stoke City
2 : 3 FT
Fulham
Win 12%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 69%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
#5 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium OH Leuven (draw no bet) 85%
Beerschot VA
3 : 1 FT
OH Leuven
Win 12%
Draw 18%
Win 69%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#6 League One Β· England Milton Keynes Dons (draw no bet) 82%
Milton Keynes Dons
0 : 1 FT
Doncaster
Win 64%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
#7 League One Β· England Rotherham (draw no bet) 80%
Rotherham
1 : 0 FT
Cheltenham
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 64%
#8 League Two Β· England Salford City (draw no bet) 78%
Salford City
0 : 3 FT
Colchester
Win 54%
Draw 31%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#9 League Two Β· England Forest Green (draw no bet) 78%
Forest Green
3 : 0 FT
Carlisle
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 32%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#10 League One Β· England Wycombe (draw no bet) 77%
Morecambe
3 : 2 FT
Wycombe
Win 18%
Draw 24%
Win 58%
#11 Championship Β· England Bournemouth (draw no bet) 76%
Bournemouth
0 : 1 FT
Hull City
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#12 League Two Β· England Hartlepool (draw no bet) 76%
Hartlepool
1 : 1 FT
Stevenage
Win 50%
Draw 34%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 63%
#13 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Twente (draw no bet) 76%
Willem II
0 : 1 FT
Twente
Win 19%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 58%
#14 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Chiangrai United (draw no bet) 76%
Prachuap
1 : 3 FT
Chiangrai United
Win 17%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 55%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 65%
#15 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany SV Darmstadt 98 (draw no bet) 74%
FC Ingolstadt 04
0 : 2 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 19%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 54%
BTTS Yes 55%
#16 League One Β· England Oxford United (draw no bet) 73%
Oxford United
3 : 2 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
#17 Serie B Β· Italy Monza (draw no bet) 73%
Monza
1 : 0 FT
Reggina
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
#18 League One Β· England Sunderland (draw no bet) 72%
Sunderland
1 : 0 FT
Portsmouth
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#19 Serie B Β· Italy Benevento (draw no bet) 72%
Alessandria
2 : 0 FT
Benevento
Win 19%
Draw 31%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#20 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Başakşehir (draw no bet) 72%
Başakşehir
1 : 2 FT
Göztepe
Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Saturday 22 January 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Inter vs Venezia (Inter (draw no bet)) at 88% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.