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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Tuesday 25 January 2022

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

Seven matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 25 January 2022. Antwerp vs St. Truiden (Antwerp (draw no bet)) led the list at 84% in the Jupiler Pro League. The shortlist runs from 84% down to 70%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans five different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the three fixtures on this list that have since finished, two landed the draw no bet market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Antwerp (draw no bet) 84%
Antwerp
1 : 1 FT
St. Truiden
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS No 53%
#2 Championship Β· England Birmingham (draw no bet) 84%
Birmingham
2 : 2 FT
Peterborough
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
BTTS No 55%
#3 League Two Β· England Leyton Orient (draw no bet) 77%
Leyton Orient
0 : 1 FT
Newport County
Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
#4 Championship Β· England Luton (draw no bet) 75%
Luton
2 : 1 FT
Bristol City
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#5 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Gent (draw no bet) 72%
Gent
1 : 1 FT
Oostende
Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
#6 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium KVC Westerlo (draw no bet) 71%
RWDM
0 : 2 FT
KVC Westerlo
Win 21%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 51%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
#7 League One Β· England Shrewsbury (draw no bet) 70%
Gillingham
0 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
Win 21%
Draw 29%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 63%

Showing top 7 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Tuesday 25 January 2022?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Antwerp vs St. Truiden (Antwerp (draw no bet)) at 84% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.