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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability — Saturday 21 August 2021

Wed 18 Thu 19 Fri 20 Sat 21 Sun 22 Mon 23 Tue 24

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 21 August 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Malmo FF vs Degerfors IF (Malmo FF (draw no bet)) at 91% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 73%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Ligue 2 supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the draw no bet market — 77%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Allsvenskan · Sweden Malmo FF (draw no bet) 91%

✓ Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 55%

Bundesliga · Austria Red Bull Salzburg (draw no bet) 89%

✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Ligue 2 · France Toulouse (draw no bet) 86%

Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 57%

Eliteserien · Norway Stromsgodset (draw no bet) 85%

Eliteserien · Norway Stromsgodset (draw no bet) 85%

Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 54%

Ligue 2 · France Quevilly (draw no bet) 83%

✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 59%

Ligue 2 · France Sochaux (draw no bet) 83%

Eliteserien · Norway Molde (draw no bet) 83%

Over 2.5 83% BTTS Yes 75%

Primera División · Chile D. La Serena (draw no bet) 80%

#10

Premier League · Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk (draw no bet) 78%

#11

Ligue 2 · France Nimes (draw no bet) 78%

✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%

#12

Eliteserien · Norway Valerenga (draw no bet) 78%

Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 59%

#13

Bundesliga · Germany Eintracht Frankfurt (draw no bet) 77%

Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 61%

#14

Serie B · Italy Vicenza Virtus (draw no bet) 77%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 61%

#15

Primeira Liga · Portugal Sporting CP (draw no bet) 76%

✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 57%

#16

Eliteserien · Norway Rosenborg (draw no bet) 75%

Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 63%

#17

Championship · England Hull City (draw no bet) 75%

Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 55%

#18

Veikkausliiga · Finland Inter Turku (draw no bet) 73%

✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 55%

#19

Ekstraklasa · Poland Pogon Szczecin (draw no bet) 73%

Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 66%

#20

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Mlada Boleslav (draw no bet) 73%

Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Draw No Bet — common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Saturday 21 August 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Malmo FF vs Degerfors IF (Malmo FF (draw no bet)) at 91% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.