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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 22 August 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 22 August 2026. Fluminense vs Remo (Fluminense or draw) sits top on 87% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 78%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans ten different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil Fluminense or draw 87%
Fluminense
2 : 1 FT
Remo
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Austria Sturm Graz or draw 84%
Sturm Graz
1 : 1 FT
Austria Lustenau
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 56%
#3 Super League 1 Β· Greece AEK Athens FC or draw 84%
AEK Athens FC
4 : 0 FT
Iraklis 1908
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 53%
#4 Primera División Β· Chile A. Italiano or draw 83%
A. Italiano
0 : 0 FT
Union La Calera
Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 55%
#5 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Mlada Boleslav or draw 83%
Mlada Boleslav
2 : 1 FT
Slovácko
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#6 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Bucheon FC 1995 or draw 82%
Pohang Steelers
3 : 0 FT
Bucheon FC 1995
Win 18%
Draw 37%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#7 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw 82%
Al-Ahli Jeddah
4 : 0 FT
Abha
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Sporting CP or draw 82%
Sporting CP
3 : 1 FT
Alverca
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#9 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Heerenveen or draw 82%
Heerenveen
0 : 2 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 60%
#10 Serie B Β· Italy Avellino or draw 82%
Avellino
1 : 2 FT
Arezzo
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
#11 Serie B Β· Italy Empoli or draw 82%
Empoli
1 : 0 FT
Cremonese
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
#12 Serie A Β· Italy Inter or draw 81%
Inter
4 : 1 FT
Monza
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
#13 Ligue 2 Β· France Saint Etienne or draw 81%
Saint Etienne
4 : 0 FT
Grenoble
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 59%
#14 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slovan Liberec or draw 80%
Zlin
0 : 1 FT
Slovan Liberec
Win 20%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#15 Championship Β· England Southampton or draw 80%
Southampton
3 : 1 FT
Stoke City
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 54%
#16 Bundesliga Β· Austria SCR Altach or draw 80%
SCR Altach
1 : 2 FT
TSV Hartberg
Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 53%
#17 Serie A Β· Brazil Flamengo or draw 79%
Cruzeiro
2 : 1 FT
Flamengo
Win 21%
Draw 28%
Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#18 K League 1 Β· South-Korea FC Seoul or draw 79%
FC Anyang
0 : 7 FT
FC Seoul
Win 21%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 46%
Under 2.5 58%
#19 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 79%
Slavia Praha
2 : 2 FT
Bohemians 1905
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#20 Championship Β· England Derby or draw 78%
Derby
2 : 2 FT
Cardiff
Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 22%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 22 August 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Fluminense vs Remo (Fluminense or draw) at 87% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.