Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 23 August 2026
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 23 August 2026. The strongest reading belongs to KuPS vs Mariehamn (KuPS or draw) at 91% in the Veikkausliiga. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 78%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Veikkausliiga · Finland
KuPS or draw
91%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Hammarby FF or draw
90%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Feyenoord or draw
87%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles or draw
84%
Premier League · Russia
Dynamo or draw
83%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
York United or draw
83%
Serie A · Brazil
RB Bragantino or draw
82%
Super League · China
SHANGHAI SIPG or draw
82%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Pogon Szczecin or draw
82%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Incheon United or draw
81%
La Liga · Spain
Getafe or draw
81%
Premier League · Russia
Zenit or draw
80%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Francs Borains or draw
80%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Vasteras SK FK or draw
79%
Super League 1 · Greece
PAOK or draw
79%
Serie A · Brazil
Palmeiras or draw
79%
La Liga · Spain
Atletico Madrid or draw
78%
Primera División · Chile
D. La Serena or draw
78%
Super League · Switzerland
BSC Young Boys or draw
78%
Championship · England
West Brom or draw
78%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 23 August 2026?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by KuPS vs Mariehamn (KuPS or draw) at 91% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.