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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 1 May 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 14 fixtures on Friday 1 May 2026. Viking vs Rosenborg (Viking or draw) led the list at 93% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie B supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the double chance market — 93%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway Viking or draw 93%
Viking
3 : 0 FT
Rosenborg
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 16%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
#2 Premier Division Β· Ireland Shamrock Rovers or draw 91%
Shamrock Rovers
1 : 0 FT
Waterford
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 55%
#3 Serie B Β· Italy Carrarese or draw 85%
Carrarese
0 : 0 FT
Cesena
Win 56%
Draw 29%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#4 Serie B Β· Italy Modena or draw 85%
Modena
2 : 1 FT
Reggiana
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 30%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 58%
#5 Premier League Β· Ukraine Kryvbas KR or draw 83%
SK Poltava
3 : 3 FT
Kryvbas KR
Win 17%
Draw 22%
Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#6 Premier League Β· England Leeds or draw 83%
Leeds
3 : 1 FT
Burnley
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#7 Super League Β· China Shandong Luneng or draw 83%
Shandong Luneng
1 : 1 FT
Qingdao Youth Island
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 54%
#8 Serie B Β· Italy Palermo or draw 82%
Palermo
3 : 2 FT
Catanzaro
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#9 Serie B Β· Italy Bari or draw 80%
Bari
2 : 0 FT
Virtus Entella
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 32%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#10 Super League Β· China Tianjin Teda or draw 78%
Tianjin Teda
2 : 2 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#11 La Liga Β· Spain Girona or draw 78%
Girona
0 : 1 FT
Mallorca
Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
#12 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand BG Pathum United or draw 78%
Muangthong United
1 : 1 FT
BG Pathum United
Win 22%
Draw 35%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
#13 Super League Β· China Henan Jianye or draw 76%
Henan Jianye
4 : 0 FT
Shenyang Urban
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#14 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Rizespor or draw 75%
Rizespor
3 : 2 FT
Konyaspor
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 14 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 1 May 2026?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Viking vs Rosenborg (Viking or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.