Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 20 September 2025
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 20 September 2025. HFX Wanderers FC vs Pacific FC (HFX Wanderers FC or draw) sits top on 89% in the Canadian Premier League. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 79%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the double chance market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Canadian Premier League · Canada
HFX Wanderers FC or draw
89%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Mjallby AIF or draw
86%
La Liga · Spain
Villarreal or draw
85%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Cavalry FC or draw
85%
League Two · England
Grimsby or draw
85%
Premier League · England
Crystal Palace or draw
85%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sigma Olomouc or draw
84%
League One · England
Cardiff or draw
84%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam or draw
83%
League One · England
Stevenage or draw
82%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
NAC Breda or draw
82%
League One · England
Doncaster or draw
82%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Prachuap or draw
82%
Superettan · Sweden
Kalmar FF or draw
81%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Benfica or draw
81%
Eliteserien · Norway
Fredrikstad or draw
81%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
OH Leuven or draw
80%
League One · England
Huddersfield or draw
80%
League Two · England
Milton Keynes Dons or draw
80%
Premier League · England
Wolves or draw
79%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 20 September 2025?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by HFX Wanderers FC vs Pacific FC (HFX Wanderers FC or draw) at 89% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.