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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Tuesday 13 May 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Eight matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 13 May 2025. Spezia vs Cosenza (Spezia or draw) led the list at 85% in the Serie B. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Serie B supplies five of the top 8, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the double chance market — 62%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie B Β· Italy Spezia or draw 85%
Spezia
3 : 1 FT
Cosenza
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#2 Serie B Β· Italy Palermo or draw 84%
Palermo
1 : 1 FT
Carrarese
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
#3 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al-Wasl FC or draw 82%
Al Urooba
1 : 2 FT
Al-Wasl FC
Win 18%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#4 Serie B Β· Italy Sassuolo or draw 82%
Sassuolo
0 : 1 FT
Frosinone
Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#5 Serie B Β· Italy Cittadella or draw 80%
Cittadella
0 : 2 FT
Salernitana
Win 46%
Draw 34%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#6 Serie A Β· Brazil Santos or draw 78%
Santos
0 : 0 FT
Ceara
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
#7 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al Bataeh or draw 76%
Al-Jazira
2 : 0 FT
Al Bataeh
Win 24%
Draw 26%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#8 Serie B Β· Italy Sudtirol or draw 75%
Sudtirol
0 : 0 FT
Bari
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
BTTS Yes 53%

Showing top 8 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 13 May 2025?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Spezia vs Cosenza (Spezia or draw) at 85% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.