Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 11 May 2025
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 11 May 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Flamengo vs Bahia (Flamengo or draw) at 89% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 79%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Serie A · Brazil
Flamengo or draw
89%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Beşiktaş or draw
89%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Göztepe or draw
88%
Premier League · England
Nottingham Forest or draw
88%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Ajax or draw
87%
Serie A · Italy
Napoli or draw
86%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Hammarby FF or draw
85%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC or draw
85%
Bundesliga · Germany
Eintracht Frankfurt or draw
84%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estrela or draw
84%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto or draw
84%
Premier League · England
Newcastle or draw
83%
Eliteserien · Norway
Sandefjord or draw
83%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar or draw
83%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Kaiserslautern or draw
82%
Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Vienna or draw
81%
La Liga · Spain
Athletic Club or draw
80%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Teplice or draw
80%
La Liga · Spain
Real Betis or draw
80%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hannover 96 or draw
79%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 11 May 2025?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Flamengo vs Bahia (Flamengo or draw) at 89% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.