Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 11 April 2025
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
16 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 11 April 2025. Spartak Moscow vs Dinamo Makhachkala (Spartak Moscow or draw) led the list at 94% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
Pro League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.
Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Premier League · Russia
Spartak Moscow or draw
94%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hamburger SV or draw
89%
Championship · England
Burnley or draw
87%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
RWDM or draw
83%
Super League · China
Meizhou Kejia or draw
83%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Excelsior or draw
82%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw
81%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw
81%
Ligue 2 · France
Rodez or draw
79%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon or draw
77%
Ligue 2 · France
PAU or draw
77%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai or draw
77%
Ligue 2 · France
Estac Troyes or draw
77%
Super League · China
Shandong Luneng or draw
76%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers or draw
76%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
NEC Nijmegen or draw
76%
Showing top 16 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 11 April 2025?
16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Spartak Moscow vs Dinamo Makhachkala (Spartak Moscow or draw) at 94% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.