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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 5 April 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 5 April 2025. BSC Young Boys vs Yverdon Sport (BSC Young Boys or draw) led the list at 91% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 82%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· Switzerland BSC Young Boys or draw 91%
BSC Young Boys
1 : 1 FT
Yverdon Sport
Win 74%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 65%
#2 League One Β· England Bolton or draw 90%
Bolton
1 : 0 FT
Bristol Rovers
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 59%
#3 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 89%
Slavia Praha
2 : 1 FT
Hradec Králové
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 25%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 61% Slavia Praha Clean Sheet 55%
#4 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slovan Liberec or draw 89%
Slovan Liberec
2 : 0 FT
České Budějovice
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 54%
#5 Premier League Β· Russia FC Krasnodar or draw 88%
FC Krasnodar
1 : 0 FT
Akron
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 27%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 54%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France Paris Saint Germain or draw 87%
Paris Saint Germain
1 : 0 FT
Angers
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 53%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain Barcelona or draw 87%
Barcelona
1 : 1 FT
Real Betis
Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#8 La Liga Β· Spain Real Madrid or draw 86%
Real Madrid
1 : 2 FT
Valencia
Win 70%
Draw 16%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayer Leverkusen or draw 86%
1. FC Heidenheim
0 : 1 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 14%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 69%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 57%
#10 Serie A Β· Italy Inter or draw 86%
Parma
2 : 2 FT
Inter
Win 14%
Draw 22%
Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#11 League One Β· England Charlton or draw 86%
Charlton
2 : 2 FT
Lincoln
Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 57%
#12 League Two Β· England AFC Wimbledon or draw 85%
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 0 FT
Harrogate Town
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 28%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 68% ✓ AFC Wimbledon Clean Sheet 57%
#13 Serie B Β· Italy Juve Stabia or draw 85%
Juve Stabia
1 : 0 FT
Salernitana
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 30%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#14 League One Β· England Birmingham or draw 84%
Birmingham
6 : 2 FT
Barnsley
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 58%
#15 Bundesliga Β· Germany FSV Mainz 05 or draw 84%
FSV Mainz 05
1 : 1 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#16 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Slask Wroclaw or draw 84%
Slask Wroclaw
1 : 1 FT
Motor Lublin
Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#17 Serie A Β· Brazil Corinthians or draw 83%
Corinthians
3 : 0 FT
Vasco DA Gama
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 17%
#18 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Cercle Brugge or draw 83%
Cercle Brugge
2 : 1 FT
Beerschot VA
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 31%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%
#19 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Prachuap or draw 82%
Prachuap
2 : 1 FT
Lamphun Warrior
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 57%
#20 Serie B Β· Italy Pisa or draw 82%
Pisa
1 : 2 FT
Modena
Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 18%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 5 April 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by BSC Young Boys vs Yverdon Sport (BSC Young Boys or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.