Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 4 April 2025
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
19 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 4 April 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Dordrecht vs Jong Ajax (Dordrecht or draw) at 89% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the double chance market — 68%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht or draw
89%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Chiangrai United or draw
88%
Ligue 2 · France
Paris FC or draw
88%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam or draw
88%
Ligue 1 · France
Nice or draw
85%
Bundesliga · Austria
Sturm Graz or draw
85%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heerenveen or draw
85%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KV Mechelen or draw
84%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SC Paderborn 07 or draw
81%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Wahda FC or draw
80%
Premier League · Russia
Nizhny Novgorod or draw
78%
La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano or draw
78%
Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City or draw
78%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
SK Beveren or draw
77%
Ligue 2 · France
Rodez or draw
77%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw
76%
Ligue 2 · France
Laval or draw
76%
Ligue 2 · France
Ajaccio or draw
76%
Premier Division · Ireland
St Patrick's Athl. or draw
75%
Showing top 19 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 4 April 2025?
19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Dordrecht vs Jong Ajax (Dordrecht or draw) at 89% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.