Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 9 March 2025
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 9 March 2025. Chelsea vs Leicester (Chelsea or draw) sits top on 93% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 80%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.
The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Premier League · England
Chelsea or draw
93%
La Liga · Spain
Athletic Club or draw
89%
Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Vienna or draw
89%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Ratchaburi or draw
88%
Bundesliga · Germany
Eintracht Frankfurt or draw
87%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Twente or draw
87%
Super League 1 · Greece
PAOK or draw
87%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Hradec Králové or draw
84%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Plzen or draw
84%
Serie B · Italy
Sassuolo or draw
84%
Serie A · Italy
AS Roma or draw
83%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hannover 96 or draw
82%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Utrecht or draw
82%
Premier League · England
Arsenal or draw
82%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Union St. Gilloise or draw
82%
La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid or draw
81%
Bundesliga · Austria
Wolfsberger AC or draw
81%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SC Paderborn 07 or draw
80%
La Liga · Spain
Real Betis or draw
80%
Premier League · Russia
Krylia Sovetov or draw
80%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 9 March 2025?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Chelsea vs Leicester (Chelsea or draw) at 93% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.