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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 8 March 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 8 March 2025. Bayern München vs VfL Bochum (Bayern München or draw) sits top on 96% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 96% down to 81%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans ten different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the double chance market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München or draw 96%
Bayern München
2 : 3 FT
VfL Bochum
Win 87%
Draw 9%
Win 4%
✓ Over 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#2 Championship Β· England Burnley or draw 92%
Burnley
4 : 0 FT
Luton
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 23%
Win 8%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 72% ✓ Burnley Clean Sheet 67%
#3 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica or draw 91%
Benfica
3 : 0 FT
Nacional
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#4 Serie A Β· Italy Inter or draw 91%
Inter
3 : 2 FT
Monza
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#5 Premier League Β· England Liverpool or draw 91%
Liverpool
3 : 1 FT
Southampton
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
#6 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 91%
PSV Eindhoven
2 : 1 FT
Heerenveen
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 14%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Trabzonspor or draw 89%
Trabzonspor
1 : 2 FT
Hatayspor
Win 74%
Draw 16%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#8 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Zulte Waregem or draw 89%
Zulte Waregem
0 : 1 FT
Lommel United
Win 76%
Draw 13%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 81% BTTS Yes 67%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain Valencia or draw 89%
Valencia
2 : 1 FT
Valladolid
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#10 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Bangkok United or draw 89%
Bangkok United
3 : 2 FT
Chiangrai United
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 53%
#11 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayer Leverkusen or draw 88%
Bayer Leverkusen
0 : 2 FT
Werder Bremen
Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 62%
#12 League One Β· England Birmingham or draw 87%
Birmingham
1 : 0 FT
Lincoln
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#13 Ligue 1 Β· France Lille or draw 86%
Lille
1 : 0 FT
Montpellier
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
#14 La Liga Β· Spain Celta Vigo or draw 85%
Celta Vigo
2 : 1 FT
Leganes
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 57%
#15 Premier League Β· Russia Dynamo or draw 84%
Dynamo
4 : 0 FT
Dinamo Makhachkala
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 31%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 54%
#16 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Lech Poznan or draw 84%
Lech Poznan
3 : 1 FT
Stal Mielec
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#17 League One Β· England Leyton Orient or draw 83%
Leyton Orient
1 : 2 FT
Northampton
Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%
#18 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Charleroi or draw 83%
Charleroi
0 : 1 FT
KV Mechelen
Win 50%
Draw 33%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#19 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic FK Jablonec or draw 82%
FK Jablonec
0 : 0 FT
Slovan Liberec
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 53%
#20 Bundesliga Β· Germany SC Freiburg or draw 81%
SC Freiburg
0 : 0 FT
RB Leipzig
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 8 March 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayern München vs VfL Bochum (Bayern München or draw) at 96% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.