Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Tuesday 11 March 2025
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
13 fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 11 March 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Birmingham vs Stevenage (Birmingham or draw) at 87% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.
Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the double chance market — 69%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
League One · England
Birmingham or draw
87%
Championship · England
Cardiff or draw
87%
League Two · England
AFC Wimbledon or draw
87%
Championship · England
Burnley or draw
86%
Premier League · Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv or draw
82%
Premier League · Ukraine
Oleksandria or draw
81%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam or draw
80%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
ADO Den Haag or draw
80%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda or draw
80%
League One · England
Blackpool or draw
77%
League Two · England
Salford City or draw
76%
Championship · England
Sunderland or draw
76%
League One · England
Charlton or draw
75%
Showing top 13 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 11 March 2025?
13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Birmingham vs Stevenage (Birmingham or draw) at 87% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.