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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 23 February 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 23 February 2025. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Urooba (Shabab Al Ahli Dubai or draw) sits top on 96% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 96% down to 84%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Shabab Al Ahli Dubai or draw 96%
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
2 : 0 FT
Al Urooba
βœ“ Win 87%
Draw 9%
Win 4%
Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ Shabab Al Ahli Dubai Clean Sheet 59%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain Athletic Club or draw 94%
Athletic Club
7 : 1 FT
Valladolid
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 15%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS No 62% Athletic Club Clean Sheet 58%
#3 Ligue 1 Β· France Nice or draw 91%
Nice
2 : 0 FT
Montpellier
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 59%
#4 Serie A Β· Italy Atalanta or draw 91%
Empoli
0 : 5 FT
Atalanta
Win 9%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 66%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Atalanta Clean Sheet 57%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Trabzonspor or draw 90%
Trabzonspor
3 : 2 FT
Gaziantep FK
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 16%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#6 Serie A Β· Italy Fiorentina or draw 89%
Hellas Verona
1 : 0 FT
Fiorentina
Win 11%
Draw 22%
Win 68%
Over 2.5 59%
#7 Premier League Β· Ukraine Dynamo Kyiv or draw 89%
Dynamo Kyiv
2 : 0 FT
Karpaty
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
✓ BTTS No 57%
#8 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Bangkok United or draw 89%
Bangkok United
1 : 0 FT
Nong Bua Pitchaya
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 57%
#9 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Twente or draw 88%
Twente
2 : 0 FT
NEC Nijmegen
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 57%
#10 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Club Brugge KV or draw 88%
Club Brugge KV
1 : 2 FT
Standard Liege
Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#11 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Sporting CP or draw 87%
AVS
2 : 2 FT
Sporting CP
Win 13%
Draw 20%
Win 68%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
#12 La Liga Β· Spain Real Madrid or draw 86%
Real Madrid
2 : 0 FT
Girona
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 54%
#13 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Ajax or draw 86%
Ajax
2 : 0 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 63%
#14 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands FC Eindhoven or draw 86%
FC Eindhoven
1 : 2 FT
Jong Utrecht
Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#15 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Genk or draw 85%
Genk
0 : 0 FT
Gent
Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
#16 Primera División Β· Chile Universidad de Chile or draw 85%
Universidad de Chile
1 : 0 FT
Union La Calera
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
#17 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Luzern or draw 85%
FC Luzern
2 : 1 FT
FC Sion
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#18 Ligue 1 Β· France Toulouse or draw 84%
Le Havre
1 : 4 FT
Toulouse
Win 16%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 57%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 55%
#19 Super League Β· Switzerland Servette FC or draw 84%
Servette FC
3 : 1 FT
FC Winterthur
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#20 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München or draw 84%
Bayern München
4 : 0 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 66%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 23 February 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Urooba (Shabab Al Ahli Dubai or draw) at 96% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.