Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 20 September 2024
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
17 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 20 September 2024. FC Schalke 04 vs SV Darmstadt 98 (FC Schalke 04 or draw) sits top on 89% in the 2. Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.
Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the double chance market — 76%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
2. Bundesliga · Germany
FC Schalke 04 or draw
89%
Ligue 1 · France
Nice or draw
88%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport or draw
83%
Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians or draw
79%
Premier Division · Ireland
St Patrick's Athl. or draw
79%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Hatayspor or draw
79%
Ligue 2 · France
Amiens or draw
79%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Bataeh or draw
79%
Serie A · Italy
Empoli or draw
78%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Standard Liege or draw
78%
La Liga · Spain
Alaves or draw
77%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw
77%
Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City or draw
76%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar or draw
76%
Ligue 2 · France
Caen or draw
76%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Telstar or draw
76%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch or draw
75%
Showing top 17 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 20 September 2024?
17 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Schalke 04 vs SV Darmstadt 98 (FC Schalke 04 or draw) at 89% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.