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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 17 August 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 17 August 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Slavia Praha vs Teplice (Slavia Praha or draw) at 89% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 77%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 89%
Slavia Praha
2 : 1 FT
Teplice
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 55%
#2 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Malmo FF or draw 89%
Malmo FF
2 : 1 FT
IFK Norrkoping
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
#3 Premier League Β· Russia Dynamo or draw 86%
Dynamo
1 : 0 FT
Krylia Sovetov
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 60%
#4 Primera División Β· Chile Union Espanola or draw 85%
Union Espanola
3 : 0 FT
Cobreloa
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 16%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 68%
#5 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Hradec Králové or draw 85%
Hradec Králové
1 : 0 FT
Dukla Praha
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#6 Primera División Β· Chile Deportes Copiapo or draw 84%
Deportes Copiapo
0 : 2 FT
Huachipato
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#7 Premier League Β· England Newcastle or draw 82%
Newcastle
1 : 0 FT
Southampton
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 64%
#8 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Prachuap or draw 81%
Prachuap
4 : 0 FT
Nong Bua Pitchaya
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#9 Premier League Β· England Arsenal or draw 80%
Arsenal
2 : 0 FT
Wolves
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 20%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 61%
#10 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Hammarby FF or draw 80%
IFK Varnamo
0 : 3 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 20%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 58%
#11 Superettan Β· Sweden Helsingborg or draw 80%
Skövde AIK
1 : 3 FT
Helsingborg
Win 20%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 51%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 60%
#12 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 79%
Göztepe
2 : 2 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 21%
Draw 29%
Win 50%
#13 Superettan Β· Sweden Orebro SK or draw 79%
Orebro SK
4 : 1 FT
Gefle IF
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#14 League One Β· England Blackpool or draw 79%
Blackpool
0 : 3 FT
Stockport County
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 54%
#15 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica or draw 78%
Benfica
3 : 0 FT
Casa Pia
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 20%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 64%
#16 Serie B Β· Italy Bari or draw 78%
Bari
1 : 3 FT
Juve Stabia
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 56%
#17 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Sporting CP or draw 78%
Nacional
1 : 6 FT
Sporting CP
Win 22%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#18 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Jagiellonia or draw 77%
Jagiellonia
2 : 4 FT
Cracovia Krakow
Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 58%
#19 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Waalwijk or draw 77%
Waalwijk
1 : 2 FT
Groningen
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#20 Ligue 1 Β· France Monaco or draw 77%
Monaco
1 : 0 FT
Saint Etienne
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 17 August 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Slavia Praha vs Teplice (Slavia Praha or draw) at 89% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.