Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 27 July 2024
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 27 July 2024. Palmeiras vs Vitoria (Palmeiras or draw) led the list at 89% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Serie A · Brazil
Palmeiras or draw
89%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Malmo FF or draw
89%
Super League · China
Changchun Yatai or draw
87%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
SJK or draw
86%
Eliteserien · Norway
Bodo/Glimt or draw
85%
Super League · China
Tianjin Teda or draw
84%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
HJK Helsinki or draw
84%
Superettan · Sweden
Degerfors IF or draw
83%
Serie A · Brazil
Juventude or draw
82%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Stal Mielec or draw
81%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Anderlecht or draw
81%
Superettan · Sweden
Ostersunds FK or draw
79%
Premier League · Russia
Zenit or draw
78%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha or draw
78%
Premier League · Russia
CSKA Moscow or draw
78%
K League 1 · South-Korea
FC Seoul or draw
77%
Premier Division · Ireland
Sligo Rovers or draw
76%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Daegu FC or draw
76%
Premier League · Russia
Fakel or draw
76%
Eliteserien · Norway
Fredrikstad or draw
75%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 27 July 2024?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Palmeiras vs Vitoria (Palmeiras or draw) at 89% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.