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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Monday 13 May 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Eight fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 13 May 2024. The strongest reading belongs to IFK Goteborg vs Malmo FF (Malmo FF or draw) at 82% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 82% down to 76%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the double chance market — 62%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Malmo FF or draw 82%
IFK Goteborg
0 : 3 FT
Malmo FF
Win 18%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 54%
#2 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Shabab Al Ahli Dubai or draw 82%
Emirates Club
2 : 3 FT
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Win 19%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#3 Premier League Β· Ukraine Kryvbas KR or draw 78%
Kryvbas KR
0 : 1 FT
Polessya
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#4 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada Vancouver FC or draw 78%
Vancouver FC
1 : 1 FT
Atlético Ottawa
Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy Fiorentina or draw 78%
Fiorentina
2 : 1 FT
Monza
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
#6 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Lamphun Warrior or draw 76%
Lamphun Warrior
1 : 2 FT
Uthai Thani
Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#7 Premier League Β· Ukraine Zorya Luhansk or draw 76%
Zorya Luhansk
1 : 1 FT
Veres Rivne
Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 63%
#8 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al-Wasl FC or draw 76%
Al-Wasl FC
1 : 4 FT
Al Wahda FC
Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%

Showing top 8 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Monday 13 May 2024?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by IFK Goteborg vs Malmo FF (Malmo FF or draw) at 82% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.