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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 10 May 2024

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 10 May 2024. Willem II vs Telstar (Willem II or draw) sits top on 91% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 78%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the double chance market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Willem II or draw 91%

✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%

Ekstraklasa · Poland Piast Gliwice or draw 88%

Premier Division · Ireland Shelbourne or draw 87%

✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 70% Shelbourne Clean Sheet 60%

Serie B · Italy Parma or draw 86%

✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 63% Parma Clean Sheet 54%

Premier Division · Ireland Shamrock Rovers or draw 86%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Dordrecht or draw 85%

Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Serie A · Italy Inter or draw 83%

Thai League 1 · Thailand BG Pathum United or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Super League · China Chengdu Better City or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

#10

Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates Al Bataeh or draw 80%

Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 64%

#11

Superettan · Sweden Osters IF or draw 80%

Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 65%

#12

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands MVV or draw 80%

#13

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Den Bosch or draw 79%

#14

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Jong Ajax or draw 79%

#15

Ligue 2 · France Ajaccio or draw 79%

Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 61%

#16

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al Khaleej Saihat or draw 79%

Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%

#17

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands ADO Den Haag or draw 79%

✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%

#18

Super League · Switzerland FC Luzern or draw 79%

✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 66%

#19

Ligue 1 · France Stade Brestois 29 or draw 78%

#20

Ligue 1 · France Nice or draw 78%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 10 May 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Willem II vs Telstar (Willem II or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.