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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 12 May 2024

Thu 9 Fri 10 Sat 11 Sun 12 Mon 13 Tue 14 Wed 15

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 12 May 2024. Bangkok United vs Trat FC (Bangkok United or draw) sits top on 91% in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 82%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 19 landed the double chance market — 95%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Thailand Bangkok United or draw 91%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Twente or draw 90%

Serie A · Italy Juventus or draw 90%

✓ Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 61% Juventus Clean Sheet 55%

Primeira Liga · Portugal FC Porto or draw 88%

Bundesliga · Germany Bayern München or draw 88%

Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 55%

Eredivisie · Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 87%

Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Allsvenskan · Sweden IF Brommapojkarna or draw 86%

Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Slovan Liberec or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Eliteserien · Norway Bodo/Glimt or draw 85%

#10

La Liga · Spain Atletico Madrid or draw 85%

Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 63%

#11

Süper Lig · Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 61%

#12

Ligue 1 · France Marseille or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

#13

2. Bundesliga · Germany FC St. Pauli or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

#14

Premier League · England Arsenal or draw 84%

Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 58%

#15

Eliteserien · Norway Fredrikstad or draw 83%

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 61%

#16

Bundesliga · Germany 1899 Hoffenheim or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 65%

#17

Eredivisie · Netherlands Ajax or draw 83%

#18

K League 1 · South-Korea Ulsan Hyundai FC or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

#19

Superettan · Sweden IK brage or draw 83%

Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 68% IK brage Clean Sheet 55%

#20

Superettan · Sweden Helsingborg or draw 82%

Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 61%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Draw No Bet Home Banker Likely Draw

Predictions by country

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 12 May 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bangkok United vs Trat FC (Bangkok United or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.