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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Monday 6 May 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

19 fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 6 May 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Konyaspor vs Fenerbahçe (Fenerbahçe or draw) at 85% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the double chance market — 74%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 85%
Konyaspor
0 : 0 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 15%
Draw 22%
Win 62%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 56%
#2 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Antalyaspor or draw 83%
Antalyaspor
1 : 2 FT
Pendikspor
Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
#3 Premier Division Β· Ireland Shamrock Rovers or draw 83%
Shamrock Rovers
1 : 3 FT
Waterford
Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
#4 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al Ain or draw 83%
Khorfakkan
0 : 1 FT
Al Ain
Win 17%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 62%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 62%
#5 Ligue 1 Β· France Lille or draw 82%
Lille
3 : 4 FT
Lyon
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#6 League Two Β· England Doncaster or draw 82%
Crewe
0 : 2 FT
Doncaster
Win 18%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 62%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 58%
#7 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al-Wasl FC or draw 82%
Al Bataeh
1 : 4 FT
Al-Wasl FC
Win 18%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#8 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden IFK Goteborg or draw 81%
Gais
2 : 1 FT
IFK Goteborg
Win 19%
Draw 24%
Win 57%
#9 Serie A Β· Italy Atalanta or draw 81%
Salernitana
1 : 2 FT
Atalanta
Win 19%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#10 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Pogon Szczecin or draw 79%
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 0 FT
Puszcza Niepołomice
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
BTTS Yes 54%
#11 Premier League Β· Russia CSKA Moscow or draw 79%
CSKA Moscow
2 : 2 FT
Rubin
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 54%
#12 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Gwangju FC or draw 78%
Gwangju FC
2 : 1 FT
Daejeon Citizen
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
#13 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Shabab Al Ahli Dubai or draw 77%
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
3 : 1 FT
Sharjah FC
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#14 Serie A Β· Italy Napoli or draw 77%
Udinese
1 : 1 FT
Napoli
Win 23%
Draw 26%
Win 51%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#15 Premier Division Β· Ireland Sligo Rovers or draw 77%
Sligo Rovers
1 : 0 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 38%
Draw 39%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS No 71% ✓ Sligo Rovers Clean Sheet 53%
#16 Premier League Β· Russia Zenit or draw 77%
Fakel
1 : 1 FT
Zenit
Win 23%
Draw 32%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 64%
#17 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw 77%
Al-Ahli Jeddah
1 : 2 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 23%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#18 Premier Division Β· Ireland Drogheda United or draw 76%
Drogheda United
2 : 1 FT
Dundalk
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#19 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al-Ittihad Kalba or draw 75%
Al-Ittihad Kalba
1 : 2 FT
Emirates Club
Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

Showing top 19 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Monday 6 May 2024?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Konyaspor vs Fenerbahçe (Fenerbahçe or draw) at 85% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.