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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Monday 29 January 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Seven matches cleared our threshold on Monday 29 January 2024. Jong PSV U21 vs Willem II (Willem II or draw) led the list at 90% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 79%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 7, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the double chance market — 86%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Willem II or draw 90%
Jong PSV U21
1 : 1 FT
Willem II
Win 10%
Draw 16%
Win 74%
Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica or draw 86%
Estrela
1 : 4 FT
Benfica
Win 14%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 64%
BTTS No 55%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Cambuur or draw 84%
Cambuur
1 : 2 FT
FC OSS
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#4 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Galatasaray or draw 84%
Galatasaray
2 : 1 FT
Gaziantep FK
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#5 La Liga Β· Spain Getafe or draw 83%
Getafe
2 : 0 FT
Granada CF
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Jong Ajax or draw 79%
Jong Ajax
2 : 2 FT
Dordrecht
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#7 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Sporting CP or draw 79%
Sporting CP
8 : 0 FT
Casa Pia
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 20%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 66%

Showing top 7 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Monday 29 January 2024?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Jong PSV U21 vs Willem II (Willem II or draw) at 90% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.