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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 25 November 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 25 November 2023. PAOK vs Panserraikos (PAOK or draw) led the list at 92% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 82%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 19 landed the double chance market — 95%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 Β· Greece PAOK or draw 92%
PAOK
5 : 0 FT
Panserraikos
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 24%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#2 Super League 1 Β· Greece Olympiakos Piraeus or draw 91%
Olympiakos Piraeus
3 : 1 FT
Panetolikos
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 19%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#3 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw 90%
Al-Hazm
0 : 9 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 10%
Draw 15%
βœ“ Win 75%
✓ Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 60%
#4 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 90%
Slavia Praha
2 : 1 FT
České Budějovice
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 55%
#5 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Raków Częstochowa or draw 89%
Raków Częstochowa
1 : 1 FT
Cracovia Krakow
Win 61%
Draw 27%
Win 11%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 60% Raków Częstochowa Clean Sheet 54%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Germany SC Freiburg or draw 88%
SC Freiburg
1 : 1 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Austria Lask Linz or draw 88%
Lask Linz
1 : 0 FT
WSG Wattens
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Lask Linz Clean Sheet 56%
#8 Championship Β· England Birmingham or draw 88%
Birmingham
2 : 1 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 62% Birmingham Clean Sheet 54%
#9 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Galatasaray or draw 87%
Galatasaray
4 : 0 FT
Alanyaspor
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
#10 La Liga Β· Spain Atletico Madrid or draw 86%
Atletico Madrid
1 : 0 FT
Mallorca
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 62%
#11 League One Β· England Peterborough or draw 86%
Peterborough
4 : 0 FT
Burton Albion
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#12 Ligue 2 Β· France Laval or draw 86%
Dunkerque
0 : 2 FT
Laval
Win 14%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 67% ✓ Laval Clean Sheet 57%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain Getafe or draw 85%
Getafe
2 : 1 FT
Almeria
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
#14 Premier League Β· Ukraine Kryvbas KR or draw 85%
Minai
0 : 1 FT
Kryvbas KR
Win 15%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 58%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Kryvbas KR Clean Sheet 53%
#15 League One Β· England Derby or draw 84%
Derby
2 : 1 FT
Bristol Rovers
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 57%
#16 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Damac or draw 84%
Damac
4 : 2 FT
Abha
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#17 Serie B Β· Italy Como or draw 84%
Como
2 : 1 FT
Feralpisalo
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 55%
#18 Premier League Β· Russia Zenit or draw 84%
Zenit
3 : 0 FT
FC Sochi
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 55%
#19 League One Β· England Wycombe or draw 82%
Wycombe
1 : 2 FT
Reading
Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#20 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw 82%
Al-Ahli Jeddah
0 : 0 FT
Al Shabab
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 25 November 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by PAOK vs Panserraikos (PAOK or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.