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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 24 November 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

15 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 24 November 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Braunschweig (Hamburger SV or draw) at 95% in the 2. Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 95% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the double chance market — 87%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Hamburger SV or draw 95%
Hamburger SV
2 : 1 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 16%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS No 62% Hamburger SV Clean Sheet 59%
#2 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Bangkok United or draw 90%
Bangkok United
1 : 1 FT
Nakhon Pathom
Win 75%
Draw 16%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#3 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al Taawon or draw 89%
Al Taawon
1 : 2 FT
Al Riyadh
Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
#4 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Jagiellonia or draw 88%
Jagiellonia
0 : 0 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 58%
#5 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Hannover 96 or draw 87%
Hannover 96
2 : 2 FT
Hertha BSC
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Jong Ajax or draw 86%
Jong Ajax
1 : 0 FT
FC OSS
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München or draw 85%
1. FC Köln
0 : 1 FT
Bayern München
Win 15%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 62%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 60%
#8 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Buriram United or draw 84%
Buriram United
0 : 0 FT
Ratchaburi
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
#9 Super League 1 Β· Greece OFI or draw 84%
OFI
1 : 1 FT
Volos NFC
Win 50%
Draw 33%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#10 Ligue 1 Β· France Paris Saint Germain or draw 84%
Paris Saint Germain
5 : 2 FT
Monaco
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#11 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Nassr or draw 82%
Al-Nassr
3 : 0 FT
Al Okhdood
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 59%
#12 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands NAC Breda or draw 78%
NAC Breda
1 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 65%
#13 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Willem II or draw 76%
Telstar
1 : 5 FT
Willem II
Win 24%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 45%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#14 Serie B Β· Italy Sampdoria or draw 76%
Sampdoria
2 : 1 FT
Spezia
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 58%
#15 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Lommel United or draw 75%
Lommel United
1 : 2 FT
Patro Eisden
Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%

Showing top 15 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 24 November 2023?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Braunschweig (Hamburger SV or draw) at 95% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.