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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 1 October 2023

Thu 28 Fri 29 Sat 30 Sun 1 Mon 2 Tue 3 Wed 4

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 1 October 2023. Aris Thessalonikis vs Kifisia (Aris Thessalonikis or draw) led the list at 94% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 81%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League 1 · Greece Aris Thessalonikis or draw 94%

Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%

La Liga · Spain Atletico Madrid or draw 89%

Allsvenskan · Sweden Sirius or draw 89%

✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

Serie B · Italy Parma or draw 88%

Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 53%

Serie A · Italy AS Roma or draw 87%

Primera División · Chile Colo Colo or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Serie A · Italy Bologna or draw 86%

Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Thai League 1 · Thailand Chonburi FC or draw 85%

✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 58%

Eredivisie · Netherlands AZ Alkmaar or draw 84%

#10

Allsvenskan · Sweden BK Hacken or draw 84%

Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 66%

#11

Süper Lig · Turkey Adana Demirspor or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 64%

#12

Primeira Liga · Portugal Arouca or draw 83%

#13

Super League · Switzerland FC Basel 1893 or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 63%

#14

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Mlada Boleslav or draw 83%

#15

Primera División · Chile Union Espanola or draw 83%

#16

Eliteserien · Norway Bodo/Glimt or draw 82%

Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 59%

#17

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands VVV Venlo or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 62%

#18

Bundesliga · Austria Sturm Graz or draw 82%

Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 57%

#19

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Gent or draw 81%

#20

Ekstraklasa · Poland Raków Częstochowa or draw 81%

Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 1 October 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Aris Thessalonikis vs Kifisia (Aris Thessalonikis or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.