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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 23 September 2023

Wed 20 Thu 21 Fri 22 Sat 23 Sun 24 Mon 25 Tue 26

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 23 September 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Krylia Sovetov vs FC Sochi (Krylia Sovetov or draw) at 92% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 84%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Russia Krylia Sovetov or draw 92%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Antwerp or draw 91%

Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 56%

Bundesliga · Austria Red Bull Salzburg or draw 90%

Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 57%

Eredivisie · Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 89%

✓ Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 64%

2. Bundesliga · Germany FC St. Pauli or draw 89%

League Two · England Grimsby or draw 88%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Baník Ostrava or draw 87%

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 64% Baník Ostrava Clean Sheet 55%

Bundesliga · Germany Bayern München or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 67%

Superettan · Sweden Vasteras SK FK or draw 86%

#10

La Liga · Spain Barcelona or draw 85%

#11

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium KV Mechelen or draw 85%

#12

Super League 1 · Greece OFI or draw 85%

Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

#13

Serie A · Italy AC Milan or draw 85%

Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 54%

#14

Ekstraklasa · Poland Radomiak Radom or draw 85%

#15

Premier League · England Manchester City or draw 85%

Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 58%

#16

Süper Lig · Turkey Fatih Karagümrük or draw 84%

Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

#17

Ekstraklasa · Poland Lech Poznan or draw 84%

Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 60%

#18

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Slovácko or draw 84%

Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 57%

#19

Canadian Premier League · Canada Cavalry FC or draw 84%

Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 56%

#20

Super League · Switzerland FC Zurich or draw 84%

Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 23 September 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Krylia Sovetov vs FC Sochi (Krylia Sovetov or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.