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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 13 August 2023

Thu 10 Fri 11 Sat 12 Sun 13 Mon 14 Tue 15 Wed 16

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 13 August 2023. CSKA Moscow vs FC Sochi (CSKA Moscow or draw) sits top on 92% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 81%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Super League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Russia CSKA Moscow or draw 92%

Super League · China Shandong Luneng or draw 91%

✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 54%

Serie A · Brazil Botafogo or draw 89%

Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 67% Botafogo Clean Sheet 60%

Super League · China Dalian Aerbin or draw 88%

Super League · Switzerland FC Lugano or draw 86%

Primera División · Chile Union Espanola or draw 85%

Süper Lig · Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Ligue 1 · France Rennes or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Serie A · Brazil Corinthians or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

#10

Eredivisie · Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 83%

Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 58%

#11

Superettan · Sweden Vasteras SK FK or draw 83%

Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 67% Vasteras SK FK Clean Sheet 55%

#12

Allsvenskan · Sweden BK Hacken or draw 82%

Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 69%

#13

Super League · Switzerland FC Basel 1893 or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

#14

Bundesliga · Austria Rapid Vienna or draw 82%

Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 67%

#15

Eredivisie · Netherlands AZ Alkmaar or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

#16

Allsvenskan · Sweden IFK Norrkoping or draw 81%

#17

Serie A · Brazil Flamengo or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 61%

#18

Serie A · Brazil Fortaleza EC or draw 81%

Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%

#19

Veikkausliiga · Finland KuPS or draw 81%

Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%

#20

Süper Lig · Turkey Adana Demirspor or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 13 August 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by CSKA Moscow vs FC Sochi (CSKA Moscow or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.