Sign in Register
🛡️

Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Tuesday 15 August 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Ten matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 15 August 2023. RB Bragantino vs Vasco DA Gama (RB Bragantino or draw) led the list at 86% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League One supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the double chance market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil RB Bragantino or draw 86%
RB Bragantino
1 : 1 FT
Vasco DA Gama
Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 57%
#2 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland SJK or draw 82%
SJK
2 : 3 FT
Kooteepee
Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 58%
#3 League One Β· England Blackpool or draw 82%
Blackpool
0 : 0 FT
Port Vale
Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 53%
#4 League Two Β· England Morecambe or draw 81%
Morecambe
0 : 0 FT
Notts County
Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 57%
#5 League One Β· England Bolton or draw 78%
Bolton
3 : 1 FT
Fleetwood Town
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%
#6 Primera División Β· Chile Union La Calera or draw 78%
Nublense
1 : 1 FT
Union La Calera
Win 22%
Draw 24%
Win 54%
#7 League One Β· England Cambridge United or draw 78%
Cambridge United
1 : 2 FT
Stevenage
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 60%
#8 League Two Β· England Crewe or draw 77%
Crewe
4 : 2 FT
Newport County
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#9 League One Β· England Shrewsbury or draw 76%
Shrewsbury
2 : 1 FT
Burton Albion
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
#10 League One Β· England Barnsley or draw 75%
Barnsley
1 : 3 FT
Peterborough
Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 10 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 15 August 2023?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by RB Bragantino vs Vasco DA Gama (RB Bragantino or draw) at 86% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.