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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 16 July 2023

Thu 13 Fri 14 Sat 15 Sun 16 Mon 17 Tue 18 Wed 19

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 18 fixtures on Sunday 16 July 2023. IF Elfsborg vs IFK Goteborg (IF Elfsborg or draw) sits top on 92% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eliteserien supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 83%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Allsvenskan · Sweden IF Elfsborg or draw 92%

BTTS No 59% IF Elfsborg Clean Sheet 55%

Super League · China SHANGHAI SIPG or draw 90%

K League 1 · South-Korea Jeonbuk Motors or draw 90%

Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 56%

Eliteserien · Norway Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw 89%

✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Eliteserien · Norway Bodo/Glimt or draw 88%

Eliteserien · Norway Lillestrom or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Serie A · Brazil Sao Paulo or draw 86%

Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 60%

Serie A · Brazil Atletico Paranaense or draw 85%

✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Superettan · Sweden Gais or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 60%

#10

Serie A · Brazil Botafogo or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 61%

#11

Super League · China Shandong Luneng or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%

#12

Veikkausliiga · Finland SJK or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 57%

#13

Canadian Premier League · Canada Atlético Ottawa or draw 81%

Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 63%

#14

Serie A · Brazil Fortaleza EC or draw 80%

✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 65%

#15

Serie A · Brazil Fluminense or draw 79%

Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 59%

#16

Eliteserien · Norway Tromso or draw 77%

#17

Superettan · Sweden AFC Eskilstuna or draw 76%

Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 61%

#18

Canadian Premier League · Canada Forge or draw 76%

Showing top 18 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 16 July 2023?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by IF Elfsborg vs IFK Goteborg (IF Elfsborg or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.