Sign in Register
🛡️

Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Monday 22 May 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Nine fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 22 May 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Newcastle vs Leicester (Newcastle or draw) at 86% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Veikkausliiga supplies four of the top 9, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the double chance market — 78%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· England Newcastle or draw 86%
Newcastle
0 : 0 FT
Leicester
Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 62%
#2 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada Atlético Ottawa or draw 85%
Cavalry FC
2 : 0 FT
Atlético Ottawa
Win 15%
Draw 27%
Win 58%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 57%
#3 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Haka or draw 84%
Haka
2 : 2 FT
VPS
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#4 Serie A Β· Italy AS Roma or draw 80%
AS Roma
2 : 2 FT
Salernitana
Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 53%
#5 Ligue 2 Β· France Le Havre or draw 79%
Le Havre
0 : 2 FT
Valenciennes
Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#6 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Inter Turku or draw 78%
Inter Turku
1 : 1 FT
Mariehamn
Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland SJK or draw 78%
Kooteepee
0 : 2 FT
SJK
Win 22%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#8 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Honka or draw 77%
AC Oulu
1 : 3 FT
Honka
Win 23%
Draw 38%
βœ“ Win 39%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 57%
#9 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Damac or draw 75%
Damac
1 : 0 FT
Abha
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Showing top 9 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Monday 22 May 2023?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Newcastle vs Leicester (Newcastle or draw) at 86% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.