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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 20 May 2023

Wed 17 Thu 18 Fri 19 Sat 20 Sun 21 Mon 22 Tue 23

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 20 May 2023. The strongest reading belongs to AC Milan vs Sampdoria (AC Milan or draw) at 89% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 79%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Italy AC Milan or draw 89%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 88%

Ligue 2 · France Bordeaux or draw 88%

Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 62% ✓ Bordeaux Clean Sheet 54%

Serie A · Brazil Fortaleza EC or draw 87%

Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 56%

2. Bundesliga · Germany Hamburger SV or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

Süper Lig · Turkey Galatasaray or draw 86%

Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 59%

Premier League · Ukraine Zorya Luhansk or draw 86%

La Liga · Spain Barcelona or draw 85%

Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 71% Barcelona Clean Sheet 60%

2. Bundesliga · Germany 1. FC Heidenheim or draw 85%

#10

La Liga · Spain Getafe or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 65% Getafe Clean Sheet 54%

#11

Primera División · Chile Coquimbo Unido or draw 83%

Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 55%

#12

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Sparta Praha or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%

#13

Serie A · Brazil Sao Paulo or draw 82%

#14

Süper Lig · Turkey Kayserispor or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 62%

#15

Primeira Liga · Portugal FC Porto or draw 81%

Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 62%

#16

Premier League · Russia Akhmat or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 55%

#17

Bundesliga · Germany Bayern München or draw 81%

#18

Premier League · Russia Lokomotiv or draw 80%

Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 62%

#19

Canadian Premier League · Canada Pacific FC or draw 80%

#20

Primera División · Chile Everton de Vina or draw 79%

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

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Predictions by country

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 20 May 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by AC Milan vs Sampdoria (AC Milan or draw) at 89% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.