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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 21 May 2023

Thu 18 Fri 19 Sat 20 Sun 21 Mon 22 Tue 23 Wed 24

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 21 May 2023. Hatayspor vs Fenerbahçe (Fenerbahçe or draw) sits top on 92% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 82%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eredivisie supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 92%

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 90%

Eredivisie · Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 89%

✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

K League 1 · South-Korea Ulsan Hyundai FC or draw 88%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Sparta Rotterdam or draw 88%

Ligue 1 · France Reims or draw 87%

Eredivisie · Netherlands GO Ahead Eagles or draw 87%

Premier League · England Manchester City or draw 86%

Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 54%

Allsvenskan · Sweden IFK Goteborg or draw 86%

#10

Serie A · Brazil Flamengo or draw 86%

Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 57%

#11

Bundesliga · Germany Bayer Leverkusen or draw 86%

Bayer Leverkusen

2 : 2 FT

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Win 64%

Draw 22%

Win 14%

✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

#12

2. Bundesliga · Germany Fortuna Düsseldorf or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

#13

La Liga · Spain Atletico Madrid or draw 84%

Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 60%

#14

Allsvenskan · Sweden Sirius or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

#15

Ligue 1 · France Paris Saint Germain or draw 84%

#16

Premier League · Ukraine Ruh Lviv or draw 83%

✓ Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 55%

#17

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Pardubice or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%

#18

Allsvenskan · Sweden Djurgardens IF or draw 83%

✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 58%

#19

Eredivisie · Netherlands Vitesse or draw 82%

Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%

#20

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic FK Jablonec or draw 82%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 21 May 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Hatayspor vs Fenerbahçe (Fenerbahçe or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.