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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 19 May 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 17 fixtures on Friday 19 May 2023. De Graafschap vs Den Bosch (De Graafschap or draw) sits top on 89% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 75%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 88%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands De Graafschap or draw 89%
De Graafschap
3 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 62%
#2 Premier Division Β· Ireland Derry City or draw 87%
Derry City
4 : 1 FT
UCD
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 64% Derry City Clean Sheet 56%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Heracles or draw 84%
Heracles
2 : 0 FT
Jong Ajax
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 17%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 69%
#4 Premier League Β· Ukraine Dnipro-1 or draw 83%
Dnipro-1
2 : 1 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
BTTS No 53%
#5 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany FC St. Pauli or draw 82%
Holstein Kiel
3 : 4 FT
FC St. Pauli
Win 18%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#6 Premier Division Β· Ireland Shamrock Rovers or draw 81%
Shamrock Rovers
1 : 2 FT
Drogheda United
Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#7 Serie B Β· Italy Frosinone or draw 81%
Ternana
2 : 3 FT
Frosinone
Win 19%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 51%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
#8 Superettan Β· Sweden IK brage or draw 80%
IK brage
1 : 1 FT
Gefle IF
Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 63%
#9 Serie B Β· Italy Genoa or draw 79%
Genoa
4 : 3 FT
Bari
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 35%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
#10 Super League Β· China Shanghai Shenhua or draw 78%
Shanghai Shenhua
1 : 1 FT
Beijing Guoan
Win 40%
Draw 38%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 58%
#11 Serie B Β· Italy Palermo or draw 78%
Palermo
2 : 2 FT
Brescia
Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 54%
#12 Premier League Β· Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk or draw 78%
Shakhtar Donetsk
2 : 1 FT
Veres Rivne
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 54%
#13 Serie B Β· Italy Parma or draw 78%
Parma
2 : 1 FT
Venezia
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 33%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
#14 Primera División Β· Chile Colo Colo or draw 77%
Colo Colo
0 : 1 FT
Curico Unido
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
BTTS Yes 54%
#15 La Liga Β· Spain Cadiz or draw 77%
Cadiz
2 : 0 FT
Valladolid
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#16 Super League Β· China Changchun Yatai or draw 76%
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
2 : 4 FT
Changchun Yatai
Win 24%
Draw 36%
βœ“ Win 39%
Under 2.5 62%
#17 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Jong PSV U21 or draw 75%
Jong PSV U21
1 : 1 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 54%
Draw 21%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 17 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 19 May 2023?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by De Graafschap vs Den Bosch (De Graafschap or draw) at 89% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.