Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 28 April 2023
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
The model shortlists 16 fixtures on Friday 28 April 2023. PEC Zwolle vs Dordrecht (PEC Zwolle or draw) sits top on 94% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.
Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.
Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the double chance market — 81%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
PEC Zwolle or draw
94%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Raków Częstochowa or draw
94%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha or draw
87%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven or draw
86%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Heracles or draw
85%
Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians or draw
85%
Premier League · Russia
Dynamo or draw
85%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Legia Warszawa or draw
84%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shelbourne or draw
84%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SC Paderborn 07 or draw
82%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
MVV or draw
82%
Premier League · Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv or draw
81%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC or draw
80%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fateh or draw
79%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Gent or draw
78%
Premier League · Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk or draw
76%
Showing top 16 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 28 April 2023?
16 fixtures met the criteria, led by PEC Zwolle vs Dordrecht (PEC Zwolle or draw) at 94% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.