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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 29 April 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 29 April 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Ipswich vs Exeter City (Ipswich or draw) at 94% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 81%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans ten different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England Ipswich or draw 94%
Ipswich
6 : 0 FT
Exeter City
βœ“ Win 83%
Draw 11%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 70%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway Bodo/Glimt or draw 93%
Bodo/Glimt
2 : 2 FT
Brann
Win 76%
Draw 16%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
#3 Ligue 1 Β· France Lille or draw 92%
Lille
3 : 0 FT
Ajaccio
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 14%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 53%
#4 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal SC Braga or draw 91%
SC Braga
4 : 1 FT
Portimonense
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 21%
Win 9%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 68% SC Braga Clean Sheet 62%
#5 La Liga Β· Spain Real Madrid or draw 90%
Real Madrid
4 : 2 FT
Almeria
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 14%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#6 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Halmstad or draw 90%
Halmstad
0 : 2 FT
IF Brommapojkarna
Win 74%
Draw 16%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 62%
#7 Premier League Β· England Brentford or draw 89%
Brentford
2 : 1 FT
Nottingham Forest
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#8 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland HJK Helsinki or draw 87%
HJK Helsinki
2 : 0 FT
Haka
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 29%
Win 13%
#9 Ligue 2 Β· France Quevilly or draw 86%
Quevilly
2 : 2 FT
Annecy
Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Championship Β· England Sheffield Utd or draw 86%
Sheffield Utd
4 : 1 FT
Preston
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
BTTS No 54%
#11 Super League 1 Β· Greece Asteras Tripolis or draw 85%
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 0 FT
Lamia
Win 49%
Draw 36%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62% ✓ Asteras Tripolis Clean Sheet 53%
#12 La Liga Β· Spain Barcelona or draw 84%
Barcelona
4 : 0 FT
Real Betis
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#13 Super League 1 Β· Greece Panetolikos or draw 84%
Panetolikos
2 : 2 FT
Levadiakos
Win 48%
Draw 35%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
#14 Ligue 2 Β· France Bastia or draw 84%
Bastia
1 : 1 FT
Amiens
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
#15 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Ilves or draw 83%
Ilves
1 : 0 FT
Kooteepee
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 34%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#16 Serie A Β· Brazil Palmeiras or draw 83%
Palmeiras
2 : 1 FT
Corinthians
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#17 League One Β· England Plymouth or draw 82%
Plymouth
1 : 0 FT
Burton Albion
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 55%
#18 League Two Β· England Crawley Town or draw 82%
Crawley Town
0 : 0 FT
Walsall
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
#19 League One Β· England Wycombe or draw 82%
Wycombe
0 : 3 FT
Cheltenham
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
#20 Serie A Β· Brazil RB Bragantino or draw 81%
RB Bragantino
0 : 3 FT
Cruzeiro
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 29 April 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ipswich vs Exeter City (Ipswich or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.