Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β Monday 10 April 2023
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 10 April 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Sheffield Wednesday vs Accrington ST (Sheffield Wednesday or draw) at 93% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 80%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
League One supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 19 landed the double chance market — 95%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only β not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
League One Β· England
Sheffield Wednesday or draw
93%
Super League Β· Switzerland
BSC Young Boys or draw
91%
League One Β· England
Portsmouth or draw
91%
Championship Β· England
West Brom or draw
89%
League One Β· England
Barnsley or draw
88%
La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona or draw
88%
League One Β· England
Bolton or draw
88%
League One Β· England
Wycombe or draw
87%
Championship Β· England
Luton or draw
87%
Serie B Β· Italy
Palermo or draw
85%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Jagiellonia or draw
84%
League Two Β· England
Barrow or draw
84%
League Two Β· England
Northampton or draw
82%
League One Β· England
Plymouth or draw
82%
League Two Β· England
Leyton Orient or draw
82%
Championship Β· England
Preston or draw
81%
League One Β· England
Charlton or draw
81%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shamrock Rovers or draw
81%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw
80%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Legia Warszawa or draw
80%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Double Chance β common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Monday 10 April 2023?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sheffield Wednesday vs Accrington ST (Sheffield Wednesday or draw) at 93% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.