🛡️

Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 5 March 2023

Thu 2 Fri 3 Sat 4 Sun 5 Mon 6 Tue 7 Wed 8

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 5 March 2023. Olympiakos Piraeus vs Levadiakos (Olympiakos Piraeus or draw) sits top on 95% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 95% down to 82%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Super League 1 supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League 1 · Greece Olympiakos Piraeus or draw 95%

✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Olympiakos Piraeus Clean Sheet 61%

Ligue 1 · France Reims or draw 95%

Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Süper Lig · Turkey Adana Demirspor or draw 92%

Thai League 1 · Thailand Buriram United or draw 90%

✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Buriram United Clean Sheet 58%

La Liga · Spain Barcelona or draw 90%

✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 71% ✓ Barcelona Clean Sheet 64%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Antwerp or draw 90%

Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ Antwerp Clean Sheet 53%

Primeira Liga · Portugal SC Braga or draw 89%

✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ SC Braga Clean Sheet 58%

Super League 1 · Greece PAOK or draw 88%

Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ PAOK Clean Sheet 59%

Super League 1 · Greece Aris Thessalonikis or draw 85%

Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 53%

#10

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Union St. Gilloise or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

#11

Super League 1 · Greece AEK Athens FC or draw 84%

Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%

#12

Premier League · England Nottingham Forest or draw 84%

Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 64% Nottingham Forest Clean Sheet 53%

#13

Eredivisie · Netherlands GO Ahead Eagles or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

#14

Ligue 1 · France Monaco or draw 84%

#15

Eredivisie · Netherlands Ajax or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 53%

#16

Bundesliga · Germany Bayer Leverkusen or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

#17

Serie A · Italy Inter or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 60%

#18

Süper Lig · Turkey Galatasaray or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 54%

#19

Serie B · Italy Frosinone or draw 82%

#20

Ligue 1 · France Montpellier or draw 82%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Draw No Bet Home Banker Likely Draw

Predictions by country

UK Football Predictions

Spanish Football Predictions

Italian Football Predictions

German Football Predictions

French Football Predictions

Dutch Football Predictions

Portuguese Football Predictions

Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 5 March 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Olympiakos Piraeus vs Levadiakos (Olympiakos Piraeus or draw) at 95% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.